Maribor vs NK Rogaška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
2º
36
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
NSM
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RAD
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
1 - 2
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
ROG
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 3
OLI
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 3
ROG
26%
22%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |