Maribor vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 2
TRI
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 1
RUD
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
NKN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
NKN
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 2
FCK
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |