Maribor vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GOR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
BRU
2 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
CEL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
NKN
1 - 0
TRI
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NKN
1 - 2
RUD
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 0
NKN
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOM
2 - 1
NKN
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GOR
2 - 1
NKN
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |