Maribor vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NKP
3 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCK
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
GOR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DOM
3 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NKN
1 - 2
DOM
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
NKN
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NKN
1 - 0
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NKD
3 - 0
NKN
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 0
NKN
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |