Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Maribor vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CEL
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
AST
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
STU
1 - 2
MAR
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 2
DUN
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 1
SEP
89%
9%
2%
|
74 | 16 | 58 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
LSO
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LSO
0 - 1
SSO
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |