Maribor vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
DOM
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
HIF
3 - 1
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 3
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 1
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAN
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
HIF
2 - 1
NOR
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
HIF
3 - 1
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 2
HIF
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
HIF
5 - 1
DEG
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HIF
1 - 1
HAL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |