Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 2-1
Maribor vs Skonto Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
MAR
5 - 1
NKO
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
NKP
1 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 2
NKM
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
CEL
3 - 3
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1994 |
FCS
0 - 1
NAP
25%
24%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
NAP
2 - 0
FCS
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
ABE
1 - 1
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
FCS
0 - 0
ABE
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |