Maribor vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
6º
2º
13
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 11% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
21.5% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
32.5% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
NKP
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
DJU
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
DJU
1 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKG
0 - 6
FCK
4%
9%
87%
|
76 | 5 | 71 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
FCK
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 0
NKN
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
FCK
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |