Qualif. Champions 3ª Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Maribor vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 1
MAR
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GOR
1 - 4
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOR
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
MTA
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
6 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
STJ
0 - 3
CEL
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 0
WAR
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 6
TOT
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
WAR
4 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |