Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
6º
1º
17
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
18 | 66 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 59 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 38 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
29% | 17.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
23% | 17% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
33% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SDM
0 - 4
MAR
3%
7%
90%
|
75 | 11 | 64 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 3
MAR
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
NKP
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 3
CEL
12%
19%
69%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKN
71%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |