Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
2º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 2
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
9 - 0
NKJ
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
ROG
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
NSM
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
OLI
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
KRS
1 - 4
CEL
7%
14%
79%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
DOM
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 4
CEL
15%
24%
61%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |