Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
NSM
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALU
3 - 0
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LOK
3 - 0
MAR
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCK
2 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
CEL
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
TAS
0 - 2
CEL
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 1
DOM
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 0
RAD
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |