Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAR
32%
23%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 3
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAR
32%
23%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
TRI
4 - 3
CEL
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
RUD
50%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |