Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 3
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
DOM
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NKN
2 - 4
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 4
RUD
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 5
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKI
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NKD
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |