Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
NKD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 2
NKI
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
NKP
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NKN
1 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 4
DOM
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 3
GOR
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
5 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
NKI
81%
14%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NKD
2 - 2
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |