Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Maribor vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 4
RAP
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
EGN
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
BUD
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLK
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
BPL
3 - 2
BOT
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BOT
5 - 2
CVA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
BER
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |