Maribor vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
6 - 2
NKV
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
MAR
8%
16%
75%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
CSK
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
MAR
15%
22%
64%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
HAM
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
GZI
4 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BIR
4 - 3
MOS
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
BIR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |