Maribor vs NK Bravo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
2º
36
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 70 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 67 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 26 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
25% | 5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
37% | 9% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
32% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CSU
3 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
CSU
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOT
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
ZRI
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
NKP
63%
23%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |