Maribor vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
2º
31
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 4
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
6 - 2
NKV
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 2
CEL
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 1
FCM
45%
22%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 1
ALI
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VOJ
1 - 1
ALU
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 2
KTE
34%
24%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |