Marialvas Sub 15 vs Benfica Castelo Branco Sub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
6º
5
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marialvas Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MRV
1 - 1
GFN
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MRV
0 - 1
UDL
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 1
MRV
9%
15%
77%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MRV
1 - 0
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
MRV
49%
21%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco Sub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
5 - 0
ANA
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TON
6 - 1
BEN
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
FAT
26%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
GFN
8%
14%
77%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
5 - 1
BEN
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |