Maria Saal vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KMD
1 - 2
MSA
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MSA
3 - 0
RAP
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WOL
2 - 2
MSA
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MSA
2 - 0
STE
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 3
MSA
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 7
WAC
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 0
WEL
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 4
BLE
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 0
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 2
TRE
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |