Maria Saal vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 1
MSA
14%
17%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MSA
1 - 1
SPI
35%
23%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 1
MSA
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MSA
0 - 0
KUH
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KMD
1 - 0
MSA
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
BLE
23%
25%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GMD
1 - 0
MIC
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 5
KLA
12%
18%
71%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
FEL
2 - 1
MIC
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 0
RAP
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |