Maria Saal vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 2
MSA
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MSA
4 - 1
SPI
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ANB
4 - 1
MSA
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MSA
2 - 0
FEL
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 1
MSA
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
KMD
0 - 0
FLC
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FLC
1 - 0
DRA
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 3
FLC
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLC
2 - 4
ANB
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
FEL
2 - 0
FLC
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |