Maria Saal vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
15º
15º
42
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SCL
3 - 2
MSA
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KMD
5 - 6
MSA
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MSA
4 - 5
WOL
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MSA
2 - 3
SPI
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 2
MSA
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BLE
1 - 0
KMD
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 4
BLE
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
2 - 0
BLE
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BLE
0 - 1
VOL
28%
24%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
FLC
2 - 1
BLE
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |