Maria da Fonte vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PED
3 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 1
BRI
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
TIR
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 1
VIL
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |