Maria da Fonte vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
76%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OSL
1 - 2
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MIR
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
TRO
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 2
MAR
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
11%
22%
67%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 0
FAF
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
6 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
MIR
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PED
0 - 1
SMA
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |