Maria da Fonte vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
PED
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
MIR
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PED
0 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
FEL
20%
24%
57%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
OSL
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
MER
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 4
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 2
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |