Maria da Fonte vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
71.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 4
MAR
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
SMA
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OSL
1 - 2
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MIR
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 1
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 1
CHA
10%
17%
72%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 1
GFC
20%
25%
54%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GFC
3 - 2
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIA
0 - 1
GFC
13%
23%
65%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | +1 |