Maria da Fonte vs Desportivo Mirandês analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
TRO
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 2
MAR
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
11%
22%
67%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SCF
4 - 2
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Mirandês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FEL
2 - 0
MIR
90%
8%
2%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 2
MAR
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MIR
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 0
PED
8%
15%
77%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
MIR
17%
20%
64%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |