Margveti vs Samgurali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margveti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
SAP
2 - 1
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
MER
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
KOL
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 3
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
LAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Samgurali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 0
SAM
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
IME
4 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |