Margate vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 0
MAR
22%
24%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHE
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
32%
24%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOW
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
WOR
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 3
WOR
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
KIN
0 - 4
WOR
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
EAS
3 - 3
WOR
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -1 |