Margate vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
WHI
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
HOR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
WIN
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
POT
1 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 0
COR
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 1
WOR
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WOR
0 - 2
BOG
74%
15%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WOR
0 - 2
HAR
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
WOR
31%
23%
47%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |