Margate vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 4
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 0
MER
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 4
LEA
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
WOR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ENF
2 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |