Margate vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
LEA
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ENF
2 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
TON
0 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LEA
0 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 2
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MER
1 - 2
DOR
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
FOL
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
THU
1 - 1
MER
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |