Margate vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 4
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 5
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
HAY
1 - 3
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
HAY
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
LOX
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
DOR
40%
23%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
HOR
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
4 - 0
VIR
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
DOV
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HTG
1 - 4
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |