Margate vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
KIN
50%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
LEW
2 - 0
MAR
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
EAS
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 2
BOG
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 0
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 2
LEW
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 0
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 2
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |