Margate vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
HUN
29%
26%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
EBB
4 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
WES
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POO
1 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 4
HAM
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 6
EAS
26%
22%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 1
EAS
25%
23%
51%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
5 - 1
GOS
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEL
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |