Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Margaritense vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margaritense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAR
47%
29%
25%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
MAR
4 - 0
UDS
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
MHN
1 - 2
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CLL
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 0
AND
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CON
7 - 1
MHN
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
MHN
3 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
MHN
1 - 2
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CFP
4 - 1
MHN
49%
26%
25%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
MHN
0 - 2
MNC
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -3 |