Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-1
Margaritense vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margaritense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALA
74%
18%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ADC
2 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 2
MUR
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CON
0 - 0
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 1
FLN
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MLL
2 - 0
CDE
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MLL
2 - 0
AND
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SAL
0 - 1
MLL
40%
28%
33%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
MLL
4 - 1
SDF
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
SLL
1 - 1
MLL
48%
27%
25%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |