UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Marek vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 2
FHV
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FHV
2 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
RIL
3 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
CVA
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 3
MAR
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
STU
2 - 0
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
WOL
2 - 0
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
WOL
2 - 2
KAI
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BVB
2 - 2
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
WOL
0 - 2
BYM
26%
26%
47%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |