UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Marek vs Fehérvár analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FHV
2 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
RIL
3 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
CVA
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 3
MAR
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 0
DOB
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FHV
2 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
FHV
1 - 2
SOP
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
FHV
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
BEK
1 - 0
FHV
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
FHV
1 - 2
BUD
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |