Marek vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
STR
2 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
HEB
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUD
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
LKL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HEB
2 - 0
SEP
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SEP
2 - 1
LUD
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LKL
1 - 1
SEP
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SEP
1 - 1
DOB
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LOV
2 - 0
SEP
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |