UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Marek vs FC Ashdod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
ASH
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LPL
2 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOV
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Ashdod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
ASH
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
ZBR
0 - 5
ASH
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
HAP
2 - 2
ASH
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
ASH
0 - 3
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
HBS
1 - 3
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |