Marek vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUD
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
LKL
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
DOB
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
HEB
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
HEB
1 - 0
LKL
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DOB
0 - 1
HEB
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HEB
1 - 0
LOV
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
HEB
22%
25%
54%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |