Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Marek vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 3
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
BER
2 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
AKA
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
BVR
2 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
SGD
4 - 0
FTC
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FTC
1 - 0
SGD
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
JEU
2 - 6
FTC
7%
20%
73%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
FTC
5 - 1
JEU
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1975 |
DYN
3 - 0
FTC
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |