UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Marek vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
LSO
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LSO
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
VID
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
GOR
1 - 2
DTB
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
SIO
2 - 0
GOR
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 1
WIT
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LOK
3 - 1
GOR
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 2
FCB
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |