UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Marek vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LPL
2 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOV
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CVA
3 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 1
LSO
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
SSO
2 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CON
1 - 2
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 0
RHA
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 1
POR
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LID
2 - 1
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
TNS
1 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |