Marek vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
MON
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
MAR
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
BGA
69%
21%
10%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DOB
1 - 1
MAR
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CVA
2 - 0
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 2
BVR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BVR
1 - 0
FKH
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RAK
1 - 1
BVR
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BVR
0 - 2
BAN
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
BVR
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |