Europa League 1/16
Global 2-3
Marek vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
CHB
2 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
LSO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
BYM
3 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
5%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
OFK
1 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
4 - 1
LPL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
BYM
0 - 2
HER
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
MON
2 - 0
BYM
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
BYM
3 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
5%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 1
BYM
33%
24%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
BYM
3 - 0
BVB
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |