Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Marek vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 2
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SLI
1 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 2
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
FKH
2 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
OFK
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ABE
4 - 0
MHE
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
ABE
4 - 0
LIV
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LIV
0 - 5
ABE
21%
22%
58%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
DUN
1 - 1
ABE
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ABE
3 - 1
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |